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Quadratic Shot Noise models of Credit Risk

GFM seminar
CIUL, B1-01
2008-05-16 14:15 .. 15:15
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by Raquel M. Gaspar (Advance Research Center, ISEG, Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal)

Canceled.

We propose a new class of term structure models consisting of two parts: a part which can be represented in exponential quadratic form and a shot noisepart. This approach combines general quadratic models for term structures with shot-noise models and therefore naturally solves a number of important issues in credit portfolio risk. First, resulting pricing formulas are in closed form and therefore the model implementation is straightforward. Second, this class of models is able to incorporate well-known features of credit risky markets: realistic default correlations, default clustering and correlation between short-rate and credit spreads. Third, the recent turbulence in credit spreads caused by the U.S. subprime mortgage turmoil can be captured well.

Canceled.